The second decade of the 21st century could very well go down in history as the decade
when the realities of economic reliance on petroleum—an inherently volatile and
exhaustible resource— and fears of persistent low petroleum revenue brought into question
the viability and sustainability of the existing social contract and made economic reform
imperative. Some states even declared the reliance of state-driven development through
reliance on petroleum rents as unsustainable, justifying various reforms. The primary
economic triggers for this rethinking is the collapse of the petroleum price since mid-2014
and the ensuing government revenue declines, inflationary pressures, and alarming budget
deficits. Gulf economies have faced yet other challenges, including limited progress in
economic diversification plans, technological advancement, and national competitiveness.
Added to these problems are lagging labor productivity, limited innovation, fears of
potentially high unemployment amid young, rapidly growing populations, and bloated
public sectors. In the case of the GCC states, dependence on foreign labor in the private
sector has been considered an economic challenge in their official economic development
plans.
Accompanying these economic changes and hurdles were heightened political pressures in
an already vulnerable political environment due to existing political and geopolitical
tensions, including the turmoil sparked by the “Arab Spring” and violent conflicts in Iraq,
Syria, and Yemen. Besides pressures to address economic sustainability and
diversification requirements, governments across the Gulf have confronted mounting
citizen demands, fueled by social media, for employment, equality, economic opportunity,
and an end to corruption. Economic and political changes have brought about an
unprecedented awareness on the part of the business community and policymakers alike
that the status quo is on the brink of change. Gulf states have responded by announcing a
wide range of economic and fiscal reforms aimed at cutting budgets and achieving
diversifications, with varying degrees of implementation.
Of more immediate concern to this workshop is another government response: adopting
plans to increase the role of the private sector in the economy. In the GCC states, for
example, governments have declared, more emphatically than ever before, their intention
to turn to the private sector as the generator of growth in employment and investment and
as the provider of income and services. Although they differ in substance, the “vision”
statements—economic blueprints cum wish-lists—that that have proliferated in the GCC
all give pride of place to the private sector as the engine of growth and development.
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Private enterprise and private capital, including foreign direct investment, have been
heralded as the means to drive economic diversification. Toward that end, governments
have placed heavier emphasis on, among other measures, privatizations and public-private
partnerships in a broad range of sectors, including power, transportation, healthcare, and
the environment.
Of course, declamations by Gulf countries about commitments to transitioning to private
sector-driven economies are hardly new. Privatization and boosting the share of the private
sector in GDP have existed in economic development plans for decades, with results that
are far from stellar. Every one of Saudi Arabia’s five-year development plans, for example,
includes a paean to the private sector. The professed emphasis on private business and
private enterprise could well turn out to be another of the periodic oscillations between the
public and private domains that Albert Hirschman charted in Shifting Involvements: Private
Interest and Public Action. Over the past decade, however, the overwhelming rhetoric on
the imperative of reducing government dominance of economic activity, coupled with the
adoption of ambitious economic blueprints and the introduction of a raft of reform
initiatives, suggests that the emphasis on the private sector is more than ephemeral. These
developments mark the beginning of a serious effort to change the status quo and the social
contract, one that has profound implications for state-business relations and the political
economies of the Gulf countries. As such, these developments make this workshop
especially timely and relevant.
Business-state relations are bound to be a determinant of the success (or lack thereof) of
economic and policy reforms and long-term development plans. Business elites exercise a
major influence on the orientation and outcomes of socio-economic policies in the Gulf
countries. The scope of their impact spans the labor market, diversification, privatization,
regulation, and other policies. Government policies, in turn, affect the operations,
composition, and economic/political power of business elites.
Private agents are already playing a greater role in many sectors of national economies,
including manufacturing, telecommunications, transportation, and tourism. Therefore, it
behooves us to explore the implications of the current wave of economic reforms for a
reconfiguration of the public-private sectors relationship as well as the implications of the
existing business-state relationship for the success of economic reforms and changes in
socio-economic structures. Such an assessment must proceed from an examination of the
nature of that relationship in countries of the Gulf, how it has evolved over time, the track
record of attempts to restructure it in specific policy arenas, and its effect on economic
growth and development.
Existing scholarship on the Gulf offers little purchase on this task. Works on the private
sector in Gulf countries as well as in-depth analyses of the relationship between the private
and public sectors are limited. There are relevant works in the context of other regions,
such as Melanie Cammet’s volume on Morocco and Tunisia (Globalization and Business
Politics in Arab North Africa), Ayşe Bugra’s on Turkey (State and Business in Modern
Turkey), Peter Evans’ on Korea (Embedded Autonomy: States and Industrial
Transformation), and Mahrukh Doctor’s on Brazil (Business-State Relations in Brazil).
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The literature on business-government relations in the Gulf countries, however, remains
limited. Studies on recent economic reforms and their challenges in the Gulf are far from
plentiful in the economics and politics literature. Moreover, in the context of the Gulf
countries, there is a dearth of quantitative analyses of business-state relations and their
contribution to economic growth and development. The proposed workshop thus aims to
fill a void in this vital area.
The conundra of analyzing business-state relations in the Gulf states
A discussion of the nexus between business and government requires clearing some of the
conceptual underbrush. The essence of this nexus consists of interactions between the
private and public sectors at both the macro and micro levels. These interactions can be
formal or informal. They can be by underpinned by mechanisms and processes that over
time become routinized and institutionalized, or they can remain fluid, ad hoc, and variable,
depending on the issues and actors involved. Business-state interactions can be adversarial
or cooperative or, more likely, include both adversarial and cooperative elements. They
can be collusive, even predatory, or, albeit much less likely, conducted at arms-length by
organizations (both business and governmental) that are, by and large, autonomous from
each other. Business-state interactions can also be underpinned by channels, associations,
and networks that have widely different levels of strength and coherence, with different
consequences for economic performance.
However, untangling the complex linkages between business and government is far from
straightforward. The boundaries between the private and public sectors are often blurred;
in fact, the two cannot be said to be entirely distinct in any country of the Gulf, although
they are often treated so analytically. There are intimate ties between business leaders and
ruling families throughout the GCC: royal rulers and government officials—both of whom
constitute state actors—are involved in business ventures with otherwise private firms
across broad swathes of the economy. What passes as “economic elites” includes networks
of individuals from both the nominally private sector as well as the public sector. The same
goes for rent-seekers and rent-dispensers. Neither business nor the state is a homogenous
entity; rather, each consists of a multitude of individuals, networks, and organizations with
diverse resources and capabilities and divergent interests and strategies. As Giacomo
Luciani in has noted, the private sector includes not only entrepreneurs and financiers, but
also “pure rentiers”—to which we might add a variety of other actors, such as foreign
creditors and investors.
One challenge for workshop participants, who will be dealing with the complexities and
ambiguities of the rubrics of “business” and “the state,” is to disaggregate and specify in
detail the actors they are examining.