Electoral Frameworks, Party Systems, and Electoral Outcomes: Comparing Elections in the Gulf
This workshop examines the transformation of Gulf representative politics through the
study of elections. The onslaught of political challenges in the Gulf – post-2011 popular
mobilizations; regional security crises; and oil-induced fiscal pressures – have had a
substantial, yet disparate, impact on electoral frameworks, party systems, and electoral
outcomes. This workshop seeks to analyze these changes through historical analysis of
sin ...
This workshop examines the transformation of Gulf representative politics through the
study of elections. The onslaught of political challenges in the Gulf – post-2011 popular
mobilizations; regional security crises; and oil-induced fiscal pressures – have had a
substantial, yet disparate, impact on electoral frameworks, party systems, and electoral
outcomes. This workshop seeks to analyze these changes through historical analysis of
single countries as well as comparative studies drawn from across the GCC states, Iran
and Iraq. While the focus is on elections, we welcome broader reflections, beyond
electoral laws and process (funding, campaigning, monitoring), to political behavior
(ideology, cleavages, participation) and political meaning (policies, identities): not only
how, but also why and to what end.
The ‘Arab Spring’ that started in Tunisia in December 2010 generated a wave of popular
mobilization that materialized in very few, but significant, electoral and institutional
reforms. New constitutions were adopted in Morocco and Tunisia, with the latter
experiencing a complete change in the ruling regime. In the Gulf region (the six GCC
states, Iran, Iraq and Yemen), the emphasis was on reform, with some steps taken to
expand electorates, such as the Saudi Arabia’s decision to grant the vote to women in
2013, and the UAE decision to substantially increase its electoral college for the 2015
elections. Other states made some efforts to show transparency and competitiveness of
electoral processes, such as Iran, Iraq, and Oman.
However, the amplified demands of the opposition were also met with new restrictions on
participation, such as the dissolution of the main Bahrain opposition society, al-Wefaq,
and the exclusion of religious officials and those arrested on blasphemy and lese majeste
convictions in Bahrain and Kuwait, respectively.
The lack of substantial improvements in electoral frameworks, or in some cases, changes
perceived as detrimental to the opposition, seem to have discouraged turnout in elections,
with boycotts undertaken in Kuwait and Bahrain. Meanwhile, the lack of political
agreement in Iraq, despite the reportedly clean elections of 2014, generated a political
crisis that is still ongoing. On the other hand, the repression of political demonstrations
after the 2009 Iranian presidential elections was not replicated in 2013, with population
interest in engaging in elections recovering, at least at the presidential level.