Yemen is at a critical juncture. The National Dialogue Conference (NDC) called for constitution drafting, a constitutional referendum, and new elections. The timetable has slipped, and, for the moment, no end date has been set. The question of the state’s structure is tied inevitably to the southern issue – shorthand for the political, economic and social demands emanating from the south, which had been an independent state prior to 1990. There, a loosely aligned mix of organizations and activists known as the Southern Movement (called Hiraak) is calling for separation or, at a minimum, a temporary form of a two-state federalism followed by a referendum on the South’s future. Separatist sentiment is running high and appears to have strengthened over the course of the present transition process. The Hiraak NDC delegation demands significant concessions, arguing that anything short of two-state federalism and/or a promise to organize a referendum on the South’s future status is unacceptable. Then there are those from Hiraak who remained outside the NDC and did not recognize it and who insist on immediate independence. Most Hiraak members, however, bank on the negotiations’ failure, either due to the inability to reach a 2 substantive compromise or lack of implementation on the ground. They vow to escalate protests and a civil disobedience campaign, regardless of the NDC decisions, until they achieve independence. A constitutional referendum would provide a focal point for their opposition, triggering a boycott and likely violence. The result would be to further undermine the transition’s legitimacy. While the GCC initiative was successful in facilitating the departure of former President Ali Abdullah Saleh and forming a new transitional government, it fell short on providing solutions to the massive and intractable challenges threatening unity and a sustainable peace in Yemen. In particular, the GCC initiative ignored the country’s past, including the numerous human rights violations and the deep rift between various political factions. It also allowed the ruling party to continue as a major player in Yemeni politics without undertaking any serious and substantial political reform effort. As a result, the GCC initiative did not address major underlying causes and conditions of the conflict in Yemen. It was designed for regime renovation rather than regime change, and therein lay the seeds of the current instability. Besides, there are more complicated questions of how to strike a balance between accommodating former ruling party members and completely removing them from public life. In addition, the southern separatist Harak movement and the Houthi rebellion (called Ansarullah – meaning God's Partisans) were not directly addressed in the GCC initiative.